Geohazards modeling and prediction Field of study: Environmental Hazard Engineering
Programme code: W2-S1IZ19.2023

Module name: Geohazards modeling and prediction
Module code: W2-IZ-S1-303
Programme code: W2-S1IZ19.2023
Semester:
  • winter semester 2026/2027
  • winter semester 2025/2026
Language of instruction: Polish
Form of verification: exam
ECTS credits: 3
Purpose and description of the content of education:
The aim of the module is to provide knowledge about methods of modeling and forecasting geohazards during lectures. Practical skills in the same subject area are acquired during the seminars. Classes are conducted in a computer lab, and projects are carried out using a programming language. The lectures cover the following content: 1. types of models, 2. models in natural sciences, 3. forecasting natural processes, 4. linear and logistic regression, 5. introduction to machine learning techniques, 6. geohazard modeling in Poland and in the world, 7. geohazard prediction. The lectures and seminars cover issues in the area of statistics, geostatistics and machine learning. As part of the exercises, students work on scripts and by modifying and developing them, they adapt them to their own research problem. Students create their own models and work on their interpretation and graphic layer.
List of modules that must be completed before starting this module (if necessary): not applicable
Learning outcome of the module Codes of the learning outcomes of the programme to which the learning outcome of the module is related [level of competence: scale 1-5]
is aware that acquired knowledge needs to be continuously updated. Represents an attitude focused on the need for lifelong learning in the field of geohazard modelling and forecasting. This is due, on the one hand, to the rapid development of modelling techniques and algorithms, and dedicated tools, and, on the other hand, to the projected increase in the intensity of geohazards as a result of the negative consequences of a changing climate. The graduate/graduate makes independent decisions based on the modelling results obtained, but also consults other experts and is able to revise his/her actions if he/she considers the arguments of the other side to be valid [K01]
 K01 [4/5] K02 [1/5]
can apply the knowledge acquired in geohazard modelling and forecasting. He/she is able to formulate and solve complex and unusual problems using the acquired skills and develop them creatively. The graduate/graduate is able to base his/her analyses and conclusions on available sources of information, after their critical evaluation, validation and preparation. The graduate/graduate is able to identify limitations in the application of available data, knowing that poor quality data can lead to erroneous modelling results. They also have the ability to adapt the appropriate method to the data (e.g. time series analysis to observational data per unit time, interpolation to spatial data) [U01]
 U01 [3/5] U02 [1/5] U03 [1/5]
has advanced knowledge of geohazard modelling and prediction, knows the terminology relevant to the problem under analysis and understands the links between natural conditions and how they are represented in a model. Understands the difference between modelling and prediction. Knows methods and tools to develop an optimal model, also has the knowledge to make predictions [W01]
 W01 [3/5] W02 [2/5]
Form of teaching Number of hours Methods of conducting classes Assessment of the learning outcomes Learning outcomes
lecture [W2-IZ-S1-303_fs_1] 15 Formal lecture/ course-related lecture [a01] 
Problem-based lecture [b01] 
Activating method – discussion / debate [b04]  		exam K01 U01 W01
laboratory classes [W2-IZ-S1-303_fs_2] 30 Working with a computer [d01] 
Working with another teaching tool [d03] 
Production exercise – workshop [e02] 
Creation/production – creative workshop [e03] 
Self-education [f01]  		course work K01 U01 W01
The student's work, apart from participation in classes, includes in particular:
Name Category Description
Search for materials and review activities necessary for class participation [a01] Preparation for classes
reviewing literature, documentation, tools and materials as well as the specifics of the syllabus and the range of activities indicated in it as required for full participation in classes
Literature reading / analysis of source materials [a02] Preparation for classes
reading the literature indicated in the syllabus; reviewing, organizing, analyzing and selecting source materials to be used in class
Developing practical skills [a03] Preparation for classes
activities involving the repetition, refinement and consolidation of practical skills, including those developed during previous classes or new skills necessary for the implementation of subsequent elements of the curriculum (as preparation for class participation)
Getting acquainted with the syllabus content [b01] Consulting the curriculum and the organization of classes
reading through the syllabus and getting acquainted with its content
Studying the literature used in and the materials produced in class [c02] Preparation for verification of learning outcomes
exploring the studied content, inquiring, considering, assimilating, interpreting it, or organizing knowledge obtained from the literature, documentation, instructions, scenarios, etc., used in class as well as from the notes or other materials/artifacts made in class
Implementation of an individual or group assignment necessary for course/phase/examination completion [c03] Preparation for verification of learning outcomes
a set of activities aimed at performing an assigned task, to be executed out of class, as an obligatory phase/element of the verification of the learning outcomes assigned to the course
Undertaking, on one’s own initiative and individually, activities aimed at expanding the scope or depth of the teaching content, also beyond the walls of the University [e01] Activities complementary to the classes
a set of activities undertaken independently and on the student's own initiative, aimed at expanding the depth and scope of knowledge and skills, their revision and repetition, retention or verification, also activities carried outside the university, e.g., in a culture promoting or educational institution, a laboratory, in the open air, etc.; also self-education
Attachments
Module description (PDF)
Information concerning module syllabuses might be changed during studies.
Syllabuses (USOSweb)
Semester Module Language of instruction
(no information given)